Brighton go into their game against Millwall this evening joint-top of the Championship form table with Birmingham City having won five of their last six games, drawing the other match.
Millwall, on the other hand, come into the game on the back of just four points from their last six matches.
As such, it is Gus Poyet’s side who look like coming out on top of Kenny Jackett’s men and this is reflected in bwin’s 3Way football betting market.
In only one of Brighton’s wins have over 3.5 goals been scored – suggesting any victory for Albion is likely to come by a 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline.
A home win is available at 19/20, the draw is priced at 11/5 and an away victory is valued at 29/10.
Looking at the head-to-head record, Brighton have won five of the past ten meetings, with Millwall winning on three occasions – another pointer towards a home success.
However, with the Seasiders odds-on to take all three points it could be worth looking to other markets.
Most significantly, both sides tend to score more goals after half time and more goals in the second half is available at 6/5.
Brighton have scored 23 of their 34 goals and conceded 21 out of 31 goals after half time, and Millwall have scored 18 out of 28 goals and conceded 27 out of 39 goals in the second half.
This indicates their games don’t seem to come alive until after the interval.
If a punter backs this bet at 6/5 with their free £25 for joining bwin.com, they will come away with £55 if this result comes in.
Finally, an interesting bet to consider is a Brighton win and under 3.5 combined goals which is priced at 31/20.
In 18 of Brighton’s 30 games, there have been under 3.5 goals. More crucially, in only one of their wins have over 3.5 goals been scored – suggesting any victory for Albion is likely to come by a 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline.
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