Watford play Nottingham Forest in the Championship on Saturday afternoon and with the sides separated by just one point as we head into the Christmas period, this could prove to be a crucial fixture in the race for the play-offs.
Bwin make Gianfranco Zola’s men the favourites at 5/4, while Forest are 11/5 and the draw is a 21/10 chance.
The Hornets currently sit in seventh place in the Championship table, three points off the play-off spots following a defeat and a draw in their last two matches. The loss to Hull was their only reverse in their last nine matches and on home soil they had won four of their last five before the visit of the Tigers.
Both teams have scored in Watford’s last seven matches and apart from their most recent outing at Burnley, they have all produced over 2.5 goals. Looking at the betting, both teams to score is 3/5 and over 2.5 goals to be scored is 4/5.
Nottingham Forest are two places behind Watford in the table despite their patchy form throughout this season. In their last nine matches they have lost three, drawn three and won three – so it is fair to say they are consistently inconsistent.
They have also lost one, won one and drawn one of their last three. Forest’s latest result was a 0-0 draw at Brighton and unsurprisingly that followed a defeat and a win on the road against Ipswich and Wolves respectively.
Judging by how unpredictable Forest are, it is difficult to put any confidence behind picking the winner of this match, so we need to look further afield for our bets.
As mentioned earlier, over 2.5 goals looks a strong bet based on the statistics and Watford’s recent home form, but odds of 4/5 won’t be paying for anyone’s Christmas.
With that in mind, we are going to back over 1.5 goals to be scored in the second half at 21/20. This bet would have been successful in six of Watford’s last seven matches and we are willing to take a punt on it happening again.
Punters using their free £20 bet when registering with bwin on this selection would pocket winnings of £41 if successful – not a bad way to start the final weekend before the festivities begin.