Big-spending Leicester City take on Barnsley at King Power Stadium on Saturday aiming to improve their recent form and re-ignite their Championship promotion push.
The hosts sit in mid-table with 35 points, but if results go their way, they could move up to seventh with a win against the Tykes.
Keith Millen’s men are only two points behind the Foxes, but taking into account the recent head-to-head record between the clubs, it’s hard to see anything other than a Leicester victory.
In the last ten meetings, the Midlands outfit have won on eight occasions, with one draw and Barnsley picking up just one win.
This is perhaps part of the reason why Nigel Pearson’s men are favourites at 13/20 in bwin’s 3Way football betting market, with the draw priced at 12/5 and Barnsley rated as 9/2 outsiders.
As there’s no real value in picking Leicester to win in this market, backing them to triumph despite a one-goal handicap could offer a decent alternative at odds of 17/10.
Barnsley tend to concede the majority of their goals in the second half, with 24 of their 38 goals shipped after half-time. Leicester concede more goals after the interval (16 of 28) as well, but they also hit the back of the net more in the second half.(17 of 33),
With David Nugent as their top scorer and the likes of Jermaine Beckford to call upon – whether from the start or the bench – I expect goals from them, especially as only four teams have conceded more than Barnsley.
In last year’s corresponding fixture, the Foxes comfortably won 4-1 and a repeat result is available at 22/1 if you fancy an outside bet.
Interestingly, Barnsley tend to concede the majority of their goals in the second half, with 24 of their 38 goals shipped after half-time.
Leicester concede more goals after the interval (16 of 28) as well, but they also hit the back of the net more in the second half.(17 of 33),
As a result, betting on more goals to be scored in the final 45 minutes than in the opening period looks decent at 11/10.
If a punter puts their free £25 bet for registering with bwin.com on this outcome, and it comes in, they stand to pocket £52.50.
Looking at the half-time/full-time market and taking into consideration both sides’ respective second-half records, draw/Leicester at 15/4 also looks well worth a small play.
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