Of the 17 matches played at the Riverside this season, 13 have featured under 2.5 goals, which is more than at any other ground in the Championship.
The visit of Barnsley this evening looks set to be another low-scoring encounter, making the under 2.5 goals option an obvious bet ahead of the game at 4/5.
The Tykes have only scored five times in their last five games and have failed to find the back of the net in three of their last five matches on their travels.
Significantly, ten of their 16 away trips have featured under 2.5 goals, including three of their last five.
With this in mind, it would be something of a surprise if there were three or more goals at the Riverside this evening.
Barnsley have lost ten of their last 15 games in all competitions and five of their last six away from home, including to bottom-of-the-table Doncaster on January 2nd.
It would also be something of a surprise if Boro failed to pick up all three points, as suggested by their odds of 13/20 for the win in bwin’s 3Way football betting market.
After going six games without a victory, Tony Mowbray’s men bounced back with a 2-1 home win over Nottingham Forest on February 14th and have won three of their last four.
Their only blemish in this sequence was a 2-0 loss to Reading, which is nothing to be ashamed of given the Royals are on a run of six games in a row and 15 wins in their last 18 league games.
Barnsley, by way of contrast, have lost ten of their last 15 games in all competitions and five of their last six away from home, including to bottom-of-the-table Doncaster on January 2nd.
A home triumph therefore looks to be on the cards, meaning punters can look beyond the draw, at 5/2, and a Barnsley win, at 17/4.
And perhaps the obvious conclusion to make is that a Boro win with under 2.5 goals looks excellent value at 11/4.
With goals at a premium at the Riverside, Barnsley’s hopes of attacking success on the slim side and Boro strong favourites to win, odds of 11/4 are hard to ignore.
A successful £25 free bet on Boro to win with under 2.5 goals is set to return £93.75, with the free bet available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
Recommended bet: Middlesbrough to win with under 2.5 goals @ 11/4
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