Motherwell and Hamburg compete in the respective Scottish Premiership and Bundesliga promotion/relegation play-offs this evening, with both attributed odds-against prices for victory.
An enormous 17/5 says the Steelmen prevail against Rangers at Ibrox, while Die Rothosen assume 23/20 favouritism ahead of Karlsruher’s visit.
Such prices must appeal given their higher divisional standing, but when the pair’s remarkable relegation-avoidance records are revealed a wager on the twosome not to lose must be indulged.
A Hamburg win or draw in the double-chance stakes stands at 3/10, while it’s even money about Motherwell achieving the same feat.
Melding the prices in a double will see punters paid out at 8/5 and there’s enough cause for optimism for those who get behind it.
Hamburg have flirted with demotion to the Bundesliga II in three of the previous four campaigns, finishing in the relegation play-off last time around and one spot higher in 2011/12.
Despite this though, they’ve never dropped out of Germany’s highest echelon since their inception 127 years ago.
This apparent relegation immunity alone makes them worthy of a wager, while form of three wins and a draw from their final five also lends favour to those siding with Bruno Labbadia’s men.
Motherwell’s track record isn’t quite as impressive, but they’ve still managed to dodge the drop for 30 years in succession.
In winning three of their last eight matches, Ian Baraclough’s troops are in identical form to the Gers, but have recorded their results at a higher level.
More omens take the form of Rangers failing to win one leg of both of their play-off games to date, sharing the spoils with Queen of the South at Ibrox and in the Scottish Premiership promotion/relegation play-off last term the away team won both meetings.