South America and Europe are inseparable at the top of the betting to land the World Cup in bwin’s clash of the continents at 9/10.
However, there’s only one way money should be flowing in this market and that’s in the direction of the host football federation, CONMEBOL.
No European side has ever triumphed in a World Cup in South America in four attempts.
In fact no team from the land group of croissants, chorizo and crème brûlée has lifted the hallowed trophy in seven tournaments across continental America.
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At the top of the outright betting, hosts Brazil are 3/1 jollies and Argentina share 5/1 second-favouritism with Europe’s leading representatives, Germany.
Yet the fates have chosen to smite Die Mannschaft with an unkind draw that means they must play their group games in the hottest region of Brazil.
That’s before it’s considered their defence averaged a goal conceded per game in qualifying and that the vast majority of the talent within their squad is crowbarred into the space between the back four and the line-leading striker.
Meanwhile, it’s unrealistic to expect 13/2 Spain’s tournament-winning run to defy the toll the advancing years have taken on their most brilliant men.
Behind that leading quartet, UEFA’s domination of 10/1-25/1 territory perhaps explains their level pegging at the top of the betting.
However, considering Belgium’s unproven, so dark their not dark any more, horses and an Italy side whose domestic league is in a period of noticeable decline are the next in line, that weight in numbers can’t be taken too seriously.
By contrast the South Americans can also call upon Colombia, who have been gifted a doddle of a Group C including Greece, Ivory Coast and Japan.
Then there’s the supremely underrated Chile side, imbued with the philosophy of the madcap genius Marcelo Bielsa, who gave Germany the run around in a recent friendly, to give CONMEBOL the superior fire power.