Play-off berths are tantalisingly within reach for Romania and Armenia, who are both expected to overcome strong opposition in front of their home support. Meanwhile the Faroe Islands can keep the visiting Germans honest in Torshavn to round off our 24/1 treble.
Romania to beat Turkey @ 11/10
When not having to prostrate themselves before the Netherlands’ orange juggernaut Victor Piturca’s Romanians have been able to harvest home wins with comfort in Group D, with 3-0 and 4-0 successes against Hungary and Estonia respectively.
They’ll not lack motivation for this clash either, as a victory over their closest challengers here would propel them to within a point of securing a play-off berth behind the Dutch.
The Turks were disposed of 1-0 in the reverse fixture and have already been turned over 3-1 by Hungary on their travels during qualification.
Armenia to beat Denmark @ 11/5
Denmark boss Morten Olsen described his side’s 0-4 home reverse at the hands of the Armenians in June as the worst night of his career, but a 2-1 win in Malta in their only qualifier since offers little to truly convince they can avenge that loss in Yerevan.
An Armenia side that counts Borussia Dortmund ace Henrikh Mkhitaryan amongst its members has proved that result no fluke since when recording another away win against the Czech Republic recently.
With close competitors Bulgaria also visiting them in the near future, there’s a real chance of a play-off place to stoke the fire in Armenian bellies too.
Faroe Islands (+4) to beat Germany @ 13/10
Germany may have hammered the Republic of Ireland 6-1 in their own backyard, but the Faroes are likely to make Giovanni Trappatoni’s men look like Ian Holloway’s Blackpool with their commitment to home unadventurousness.
Joachim Low’s Die Mannschaft have mustered four goals or more just twice in their last 13 away games, with their Emerald Isle romp the only win amongst them in which they surmounted a -4 handicap.
In seven home games after the 2009/10 campaign the hosts have shipped as many as four goals just once and they’ve scored in five of those seven fixtures, offering further encouragement that they may achieve a handicap success.