New Real Madrid signing Gareth Bale is set to make his first appearance of the season in Wales’ Group A dead rubber against Serbia, but with a poor supporting cast around him the 6/4 about Sinisa Mihajlovic’s men leaving Cardiff with all three points looks the way to bet here.
Chris Coleman’s side are 17/10 for the win against opponents that pummelled them 6-1 in the Karadorde Stadium 12 months ago, with the draw at 23/10.
The new £85m man’s expected inclusion will certainly be a boost for Wales considering they slipped to second bottom of the group after a 2-1 loss in Macedonia without him.
However, the former Tottenham winger had started all of his country’s six World Cup qualifiers before then and failed to reproduce the match-winning form he has showed for the north Londoners, scoring just twice in games Wales have gone on to win.
His 31st-minute strike in Serbia gave the Dragons hope at 2-1, but they could not keep their opponents at bay and conceded again eight minutes later before shipping three more after the half-time break.
Considering the six points garnered by Wales since then all came from home and away one-goal wins against bottom nation Scotland, the White Eagles will feel confident they still have the beating of Coleman’s boys.
Serbia’s 1-1 draw with fierce rivals Croatia may have been a creditable result, but it did for their hopes of getting to Brazil next summer.
Having only amassed two more points than Wales so far in the group they need to win this game to ensure a favourable seeding in the Euro 2016 qualifiers.
Nine of the side that inflicted Wales’ heaviest defeat in 16 years also featured in the hot-tempered affair against Igor Stimac’s side last time out, with red carded midfielder Nemanja Matic one of the exceptions.
Their opponents’ line-up has also remained largely unchanged since, so the odds-against price on a Serbian victory seems pretty generous.