Roy Hodgson’s preparations for the World Cup in Brazil will take on a new dimension when his England side face fellow qualifiers Ecuador at the Sun Life stadium in humid Miami.
Hodgson’s men are 9/10 favourites to see off a second South American side in quick succession, with their opponents 3/1 and the draw 12/5, but we’ve had a more than cursory glance at Reinaldo Rueda’s team’s recent form to bring you a few worthwhile points of betting info.
Ecuador’s record on the road is poor, with only two wins from their last 14 matches away from the homestead.
Unbeaten at altitude in their Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa home and without a win anywhere else during qualifying, it’s easy to see the advantage of being elevated 2,782 metres.
However, only Mexico, Chile and Colombia have got the better of the travelling Ecuadorians in their last eight away matches, with Holland, Honduras, Argentina and Bolivia held and Australia beaten.
The temptation to back England, who will surely feel the effects of the past Premier League campaign in Florida’s 31-degree heat, should be tempered by wagering on another Ecuador draw at 12/5.
The last six games featuring La Tri have produced nine first-half goals.
Only one of Ecuador’s last six matches – which have all taken place away from Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa – hasn’t seen a goal prior to a queue forming at the pie stand.
Three of the six had keepers beaten at least twice pre-break, which makes 7/4 on the same again in Miami a tasty proposition.
Two first-half goals have featured in two of those matches, an eventuality that can be backed at 7/2 here.
The second 45s of those fixtures have combined to serve up another 11 strikes.
With a whopping ten of these efforts coming in Ecuador’s last four second-halves of football, the 27/10 on at least another couple after the break looks sure to land.
Logic follows that over 2.5 goals in the match is a Miami must-back…
…however, with England showing cracking form in front of goal when beating Peru 3-0 at Wembley, despite not playing like 25/1 bankers for the World Cup, eschew the 21/20 about three or more in the match and back over 3.5 at 13/5.