Jamie Vardy’s incendiary Premier League campaign for Leicester in 2015/16 saw him miss out on a share of top-scorer honours by a single goal.
However, that gallingly close-call with the history books could yet stand him in good stead as he seeks to burnish a brilliant season by landing odds of 33/1 about him bagging the golden boot at Euro 2016…
Across the last five European Championships, 11 players have either claimed the Golden Boot outright or a share of the honour.
Yet, surprisingly, just one of them had been the top goalscorer in one of Europe’s top-five leagues in the season leading into the tournament.
Alan Shearer was Premier League top gun in 1995/96, before again topping the charts at Euro ’96.
Other than than the Geordie legend, Euros golden boot winners/sharers since 1996 have ranged from domestic top-scorer also rans to “what? Him!” territory.
Despite Ronaldo’s epic La Liga tally in 2011/12, the 11 players to get a piece of the Golden Boot across the last five competitions averaged 18 goals across the preceding league campaign.
That’s six fewer more than Foxes’ roadrunner Vardy’s domestic divisional haul in 2015/16 (amassed at a rate of 0.67 strikes per game).
The 11 players to claim a share of top-scorer status at the Euros since 96 struck at an average of 0.55 goals an outing in the league season before the tournament.
Disregarding outliers such as Ronaldo finding the net 1.21 times for every La Liga game played in 2011/12, or Milan Baros taking the Euro 2004 scorers’ laurels after bagging 0.07 times per outing, seven of those 11 registered at between 0.5 and 0.9 times per league fixture in the preceding campaign.
Aside from Vardy, there are five other stars who have scored at ratios within that bracket across Europe’s top-five top flights in 2015/16 without ending up their division’s top gun.