A goalless draw with Bosnia wasn’t the dream result Wales had in mind for their first home match of Euro 2016 qualifying.
Following that bagel bonanza, they must now slay Cyprus in order keep ahead of the Group B curve, but only a fool would expect goals from their meeting.
A low-scoring affair in the Welsh capital is the headline of our three best Euro 2016 qualifying bets for this evening.
Under 1.5 goals in Wales v Cyprus @ 39/20
Prior to Group B getting underway in September, the Cypriots hadn’t scored in nine straight games.
They’ve since found the net in two consecutive outings, but clearly they’re far from fearsome in the final third.
Six of Wales’ last seven home matches have seen the hosts score one goal or fewer, prompting the Cardiff City scoreboard operator to annex his duties for the evening to the work experience kid.
Malta (+3) to beat Italy @ 21/20
Foes as feeble as Gibraltar have recently toppled the Maltese without conceding, but a heavy handicap advantage should see them over the line here.
Antonio Conte’s notoriously frugal charges haven’t scored more than two goals in 18 matches, with Azerbaijan, Costa Rica and Luxembourg all able to avoid batterings against them.
Norway to score exactly one v Bulgaria @ 33/20
This Scandinavian skirmish will go a long way to determining who lands the play-off spot in Group H, with Italy and Croatia all but assured of the top two progression spots.
Based on recent results, backing the Norsemen to score once and only once looks a sound bet.
The Balkan visitors have shipped exactly one in each of their last five, while Norway have only scored one or fewer in each of their last four home games.