They may have put on a bottling master class at the World Cup and lost their opening Euro 2016 qualifying game too, but Bosnia still rank at an excellent price to snare the spoils in Wales this evening.
A price of 5/4 says the Balkan outfit will prevail at the Cardiff City Stadium, with Chris Coleman’s men assuming 21/10 underdog status next to the 23/10-rated draw.
After seeing Bosnia being shot down by Cyprus last time out, plenty will be tempted to have a dabble on the long odds attributed to the Welsh, but such a move will prove regrettable, here’s why:
Bosnia don’t lose on the road.
They may have been slain on their own patch by the Cypriots, but it’s been eight matches since Zmajevi were bested in someone else’s backyard.
This imperious octet commenced with a 2-0 win in Wales when the sides last met, with the clean sheet they recorded just one of six in this spell.
Safet Susic’s side’s potent strike force is poised to blow the Welsh away.
In qualifying for the World Cup Bosnia plundered separate eight and a five-goal hauls, scoring an incredible 30 in total to top their group.
Wales, by contrast, shipped a Group A high of 20 – greater than the totals of Azerbaijan and Moldova – in the same qualifying campaign and were unable to keep Andorra at bay last time out.
With Aaron Ramsey and Joe Allen sidelined, the Welsh ‘golden generation’ has been reduced to just Gareth Bale.
Shutting the Real Madrid man down will be difficult, especially if Bosnia adopt the expansive approach that saw them rattle the goals in en masse in their previous qualification quest.
But if they come up with a strong shackling contingency, the visitors have got to be fancied to score a couple against a defence that’s enforced just three shut outs in their last 19 home outings.