With the Euro 2016 knockout line-up complete, we now know that only one of Germany, Italy, Spain, France and England, five of the eight current winner betting favourites, will be able to make it to the final, due to all being grouped together in the bottom half of the tournament bracket.
Therefore, this gives a chance for one of the many outsiders to make their way through to the final and, as things stand, a number of countries are in the running for a surprise passage to glory.
One of Switzerland, Poland, Croatia, Portugal, Wales, Northern Ireland, Hungary or Belgium will make it to the Euro 2016 final, ensuring that they all feel an extra sense of optimism at seeing the draw open up enticingly in front of them.
Of those listed, the two that look the likeliest to get to the final are Poland and Croatia. They were the only ones of that collective to have got through their group with seven points – just Germany and France could rival that feat in the bottom half – picking up some quality results in the process.
The Poles drew with Germany en route to getting through, keeping them at bay in a 0-0 draw, while Croatia were able to beat defending champions Spain 2-1 to top their group.
They will end up facing each other in the quarter finals, if they progress to that stage as expected, and picking a winner will prove difficult.
However, Croatia have shown a vulnerability that the Poles have yet to fall victim to, with Adam Nawalka’s men yet to concede a goal.
In contrast, Danijel Subasic was beaten twice by the Czech Republic, a team who didn’t score another goal in the competition, and the Vatreni look much more vulnerable at the back, despite their attacking talents.
Therefore, it would make sense to back Poland to make it to the final at 8/1.