Diego Costa or no Diego Costa, Spain won’t be running riot in Luxembourg.
After losing 2-1 in shock circumstances to Slovakia last time out, La Furia Roja will be grateful of facing one of Europe’s minnow nations next, but victory is far from as assured as their 1/100 odds for success indicate.
While that ranks as an incredibly poor value punt, there’s an excellent offering to be sifted from the multitude of odds the boys in black and gold at bwin.com have provided on this clash, with fewer than 3.5 goals in the microstate featuring as one of our three best bets for today’s play.
Under 3.5 goals in Luxembourg v Spain @ 7/5
The discrepancy in quality between the two points to a heavy win for the recently deposed world champions, but the stats tell a different story.
When the pair last met the Spanish sneaked the spoils into their back pocket courtesy of a 1-0 win.
Luxembourg are beefing up of late and, although they do lose the overwhelming majority of their matches, only six of their previous 23 have contained at least four goals.
With only 12 of Spain’s last 15 crossing the aforementioned goal line in a batch of games that includes foes as feeble as Finland, Georgia and El Salvador, don’t expect a big score here.
Ukraine to beat Macedonia to nil @ 17/20
It may not be odds against, but this bet remains excellent value.
In six of their ten World Cup qualifying games the Ukrainians prevented their foes from scoring and they returned to that very same vein last time out in besting Belarus in flawless fashion.
Their Balkan adversaries look to be in the mood to ensure this bet pays out, having lost seven of their last 15 outings without hassling the score keep.
They were unable to find the net in two meetings with China across this spell and look ripe for the win to nil picking.
Both teams to score no in Lithuania v Slovenia @ 7/10
Given this eventuality has applied to a staggering 12 of Slovenia’s last 13 outings, odds greater than 1/2 about it coming in again looks exceptionally generous.
While the Lithuanians aren’t quite as dependable in this department, this punt would’ve still copped in four of their last six, as well as six of their most recent eight home games.