Euro 2016 Groups C and D conclude today, with six of the eight teams in action still unsure of their fate.
Spain, who have already advanced to the knockout phase, have the luxury of resting a few players for their fixture with Croatia in pool D, while Ukraine, who are eliminated, have one final opportunity to register a point and a goal in the competition against Poland in the preceding mini league.
A draw will assure the Poles of automatic advancement thanks to their rivals for a top-two spot – Northern Ireland and Germany – simultaneously playing in Paris and it’s with this match that we begin our run down of Tuesday’s best Euro 2016 bets.
Northern Ireland to score v Germany @ 27/20
Michael O’Neill’s men are 12/1 underdogs to overcome the world champions, but a far shorter price says they’ll find the net.
Manuel Neuer is yet to concede in the competition, while a clean sheet in Die Mannschaft’s final pre-tournament friendly means it’s now three games since an adversary last rustled their net.
But prior to this run, they hadn’t kept a clean sheet in eight straight encounters, allowing the Republic of Ireland, Scotland and Georgia to breach their backline across this period.
Before they drew successive blanks against Slovakia and Poland, Norn Iron had gone eight without a bagel, and with a shots-to-goal conversion percentage of 13.3%, they’re the fourth most accurate outfit in France so far.
Czech Republic to win to nil v Turkey @ 12/5
A defence taking instruction from Arsenal’s Petr Cech held firm to almost all Spain could throw at them in the opening match.
A performance half as heroic will be enough to stymie Turkey’s toothless attack that has mustered a mere two shots on target in over 180 minutes of football so far.
Their substandard showing in the final third is compounded by a far from watertight rearguard that has allowed opponents 26 opportunities inside the box in two games thus far. Only Romania can top that total and they’ve played a match more.
Based on this evidence, the Czechs will have plenty of chances to score, without being troubled too much at the other end.
Ukraine to beat Poland @ 17/4
Euro 2016 won’t go down in history as a great tournament for Ukraine, but they will nab a win before they pack their bags.
They’re five meetings without defeat against Poland, who haven’t looked especially sharp in the final third so far.
A laboured 1-0 win over Northern Ireland was backed up with a goalless draw against Germany, hitting the target just four times across these matches.
A repeat of those lacklustre showing will leave Ukraine requiring just one goal in order to snare the spoils.
Combine all three punts into a treble that pays a fraction shy of 41/1.