When looking at the top scorer markets for each country competing at Euro 2012 in Poland and Ukraine, teams are generally split into three camps.
Those with an obvious goal getter who will certainly finish as his nation’s top scorer (Portugal/Cristiano Ronaldo), those with a lack of striking options where it’s a difficult shout (hello England!) and the teams with such an array of attacking prowess it could be any number of players.
Germany fall into the latter category. Such a dynamic, creative side, Germany have any number of contenders to be their top scorer in Poland and Ukraine, making it a trickier call than most.
The two names at the head of the Germany top scorer betting market deserve to be there but, paradoxically, represent poor value.
Only one of Gomez and Klose is likely to get the nod at the spearhead of coach Joachim Low’s 4-2-3-1 formation and we don’t yet know who that will be, so it makes both players poor ante-post shouts to be Germany’s top scorer.
Both Mario Gomez and Miroslav Klose have the goals to back up the claims to favouritism: Gomez has scored an incredible 80 goals in two seasons for Bayern Munich, while Klose has the kind of international record which is the envy of most, having notched 63 goals in 113 games for Germany.
There are advantages to playing both – Gomez’ has superior form but Klose has proven pedigree – but as only one of them is likely to get the nod at the spearhead of coach Joachim Low’s 4-2-3-1 formation and we don’t yet know who that will be, it makes both players poor ante-post shouts to be Germany’s top scorer at prices of 2/1 (Gomez) and 7/2 (Klose).
Even the man who starts the match against Portugal on Saturday might not finish the tournament as number one striker, so my advice would be to look elsewhere, even if the one who gets picked to head the German attack obviously stands a great chance of scoring more goals.
Instead, take an each-way look at Mesut Ozil at 10/1. The Real Madrid star has enjoyed a wonderful season, winning La Liga and playing some sumptuous stuff for club and country.
Ozil is arguably the most important player Germany possess, the one who makes all the play and is equally comfortable counter-attacking at pace as he is carving open deep-lying defences.
His record for Los Blancos is modest, but when it comes to internationals, his goal threat is there for all to see: he scored five goals in nine qualifying games for Germany and can continue that fine run into a tournament that I feel he could well be the star of.
In a market where the favourites are understandably short but short nonetheless, the 10/1 on Ozil is a great each-way shout.
Recommended bet: Mesut Ozil to be Germany’s top scorer @ 10/1
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