Joining bwinbetting editor Chris Bryant to look at the key Euro 2012 Group I qualifier are Andrew Clark, who will be making a case for Scotland, while Kieran Brannigan puts forward the case for Liechtenstein.
CB: So this is it for Scotland. They can move into a play-off position with a victory, but will they get it?
AC: Scotland should be able to overcome the fact they are the away side and win the match, even if the bet is nothing to get excited about at odds of 13/50. Having said that, the Scots won the reverse fixture 2-1 and a morale-boosting victory against Lithuania last time out means they should have enough to win the match. Of Scotland’s last eight games, they have lost just twice (a 2-0 friendly loss to Brazil can be excused), winning five – there are certainly signs of a successful rebuilding process going on.
KB: Liechtenstein on home soil will present a tough test for Craig Levein’s side, make no mistake. Remember, Scotland haven’t qualified for a major tournament since 1998 and have twice drawn against the Faroe Islands – a nation currently ranked 126th in the world. While a home win could be a big ask at 11/1, it’s certainly not out of the question. I’ll be on the draw though, which offers great value at 17/4.
CB: Scotland needed a 97th-minute winner in the reverse fixture at Hampden – are we in for similar drama tonight?
AC: To be honest, it is hard to see this game being flooded with goals and for that reason Under 2.5 Goals looks a solid bet at 22/25. Neither side are blessed with attacking talent and Scotland have drawn a blank in two of their last three away matches. The Scots limped to a 1-0 victory over Lithuania last time out and that performance hardly fills me with confidence that they will go goal crazy in this one. Despite scoring three in their last two home matches, Liechtenstein had previously gone four games without scoring but Scotland’s lack of quality up front may spare their blushes somewhat.
KB: I certainly wouldn’t bet against Liechtenstein going ahead again, especially with Scotland under so much pressure to succeed as favourites. Odds of 22/1 are on offer in the halftime/fulltime market for Liechtenstein to lead at halftime before a fulltime draw. Expect Scotland to pile on the pressure if Hans Peter-Zaugg’s side do go ahead, equalising before the final whistle.
CB: And how about scorelines?
AC: Scotland will look to keep things tight to prevent an early shock at the wrong end. The home side have found pieces of form lately and the Scots will have to be on their guard to prevent a shock, but a first-half goal for Scotland should settle the nerves and I can see them going on to win the match 2-0, which is available at 4/1.
KB: I think it would be foolish to say that Liechtenstein will keep out Scotland, even if they’re not the most gifted attacking team, but I can definitely see the hosts scoring as well. I’ll be putting my money on a 1-1 draw, which is priced at a pretty tempting 19/2.
CB: Let’s round things off with a look at the goalscorer markets. Who are the best punts?
AC: It’s got to be Steven Naismith. He was the match winner last time out against Lithuania and his lethal streak in front of goal should prove a real concern for the Liechtenstein back-line. That was only his second International goal, but I fancy him to bag the first goal of the match at a generous 7/2.
KB: You can’t look past Mario Frick, he’s an absolute legend for Liechtenstein. His record of 16 goals in 102 appearances is pretty impressive for someone playing for such a small country and he scored at Hampden as well. I like his price of 11/1 for breaking the deadlock, but the odds of 3/1 on him scoring at any time are also a decent play.
CB: Great stuff, thanks guys.
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