Group F is tight; tighter than Simon Cowell’s trousers after an indulgent Christmas dinner.
Croatia currently lead Greece by just a point but that could all change as a Greek victory tonight, priced at 33/20, would send them top.
Should Croatia win, however, and they are 17/10 to do so, then they would be assured of automatic qualification for Euro 2012, while a draw at 21/10 would also leave them in a strong position ahead of their final group game against Latvia on Tuesday.
Neither of the two sides has particularly had the X Factor in this qualifying campaign.
That might not be surprising in relation to Greece, with the 2004 European Champions notoriously negative in their approach to international football.
Croatia, meantime, have produced workmanlike if not spectacular performances, and expect a similarly tight affair tonight.
Greece’s miserly defence has conceded just four goals in eight qualifying matches, while in the same time they have only scored ten times.
Croatia also have a mean defence, with just five goals conceded so far this campaign, although they are more proficient in attack with 16 goals scored.
Nevertheless, they have drawn a blank in three of their last six games, meaning the 53/100 offered on there to be fewer than 2.5 goals in the game looks tempting.
Meanwhile, with three of Croatia’s last four away games containing fewer than 1.5 goals, this could also be an option worth considering at 33/20.
Although goals might be at a premium that is not to say you should dismiss the goalscorers market altogether.
Theofanis Gekas is likely to lead the line for the Greeks and comes into the match in decent form having scored three goals in his last two matches for Eintracht Frankfurt.
He is priced at 17/10 to score at any time, with a successful £25 free bet on Gekas to score set to return £67.50.
The free bet is available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
For the Croatians, their qualifying goals have been shared out, so picking out a possible scorer is not straightforward.
But Tottenham playmaker Luka Modric got on the scoresheet last time out against Israel, and the 3/1 for him to do so again against Greece could well offer some value.
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