With Bulgaria having scored just twice in their last four matches, the chances are it will be England who break the deadlock in tonight’s Group G Euro 2012 qualifier.
However, football betting fans should not automatically turn to Wayne Rooney in the first goalscorer market despite a sensational start to the season for his club in which he has scored five goals in three appearances.
This is because the Manchester United striker’s recent form for England suggests it is possible to find better value than the 7/2 on offer for him to score first.
The 25-year-old has hit the back of the net just once in his last 14 appearances for England.
Punters should therefore consider backing Ashley Young to score first at odds of 15/2, which look far more attractive.
Former Aston Villa man Young has, like Rooney, been in good form for Manchester United, scoring twice in his three league matches since joining in the summer.
He also has two goals in his last four appearances for England and could be played in a more advanced role this evening on account of the injury to Darren Bent.
This scenario would see Young playing off his Old Trafford teammate Rooney as a withdrawn striker.
With this in mind, those odds of 15/2 look tempting, with a successful £25 free bet on Young to score first, available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account, set to return £212.50.
Alternatively, Bent’s absence could create a vacancy for Jermain Defoe or Andy Carroll, with the former priced at 6/1 to break the deadlock.
This looks appealing given the Tottenham star scored a hat-trick against Bulgaria at Wembley a year ago tomorrow.
England are priced at 67/100 to win the match, with a draw at 27/10 and a win for Bulgaria at 4/1.
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