Vaclav Pilar’s first senior international goal for Czech Republic looks to have sealed his side’s place at Euro 2012 next summer.
The Viktoria Plzen midfielder scored deep into stoppage time in the first leg of his country’s Euro 2012 play-off against Montenegro to give Czech Republic a two goal cushion to take to Podgorica.
And given Montenegro’s goalscoring record in recent internationals, this looks to be enough to take Pilar and his team mates to Poland and Ukraine.
For while they finished second behind England in the group phase of qualifying, and indeed came from 2-0 down to secure a 2-2 draw with the Three Lions as recently as 7th October, Montenegro only scored seven goals in their eight Group G games.
With this in mind, Montenegro are unlikely to make up the two-goal deficit Pilar’s goal created for them, especially as Czech Republic conceded only one goal a game on average in the qualifying phase of their campaign.
Furthermore, half of these goals were let in during matches against group winners Spain.
To make matters worse for Montenegro, their history as slow starters means they are likely to be further in arrears soon after their match kicks off this evening.
Branko Brnovic’s men have not scored the first goal of the game in any of their last five matches.
Indeed, they only scored three goals before half time in Group G, none of which came in the first 15 minutes.
By way of contrast, only four teams scored more than Czech Republic in the first 15 minutes of qualification matches for Euro 2012 – England, Sweden, Ireland and Holland.
As such, Czech Republic look good bets to score the first goal of the first half at odds of 37/20.
A successful £25 free bet on the away side to score the first goal of the first half would return £71.25, with the free bet available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
With Czech Republic having demonstrated their superiority in the first leg, another good bet could be on Michal Bilek’s team to hold on to any early advantage they establish to win.
A bet on Czech Republic/Czech Republic in the half time/full time market is available at 17/5, making a successful £25 free bet worth £110.
As for bwin’s 3Way football betting market, Montenegro are narrow favourites to win on the night at 31/20, with a draw at 9/4 and Czech Republic victory at 17/10.
However, Czech Republic are overwhelming favourites to go through at 2/25, with Montenegro priced at 11/2 to make it to Euro 2012.
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