Back on the 12th October 2010, the last time Serbia and Italy came head-to-head, the game lasted just six minutes.
Violent disruption caused by the Serbian fans, including flares being thrown onto the pitch in Genoa, forced the referee to call off the game, and Uefa awarded Italy a 3-0 victory.
Since then Italy have gone on to qualify for Euro 2012 in record time. The only blemish on the Azzuri’s record is the 0-0 draw against Northern Ireland this time last year.
That said, Serbia have been strong in qualifying too, suffering only one other defeat. Indeed, had the violent incidents not occurred in Italy, and had Serbia won that match, this game in Belgrade could well have been the group decider.
And so, reflecting the good form of both sides, the odds for this one are suitably tight on bwin.com, with the match priced up at 6/5 for Serbia, 11/5 on the draw and 23/10 on an Italian away win.
However, with Italy already qualified, and Serbia just a win away from making the play-offs, the home side are rightly slight favourites.
Cesare Prandelli’s Italy also have several injuries, and the coach will be without the likes of Mario Balotelli and Giampaolo Pazzini in attack.
Yet, of course, the stereotypical defensive skills of the Italians remain, with the Azzuri remarkably conceding no goals in their last seven qualifying games.
Indeed, of their last five full games, only one has featured more than 1.5 goals, and you can back under 1.5 goals in this match at generous odds of 33/20 considering the circumstances.
Serbia too are a side known for their defensive capabilities of course, with the likes of Branislav Ivanovic, Aleksander Kolarov and Neven Subotic at the back.
As such, they will concede few chances, and the 0-0 is therefore very tempting at 6/1.
However, the attacking flair of wingers Milos Krasic and Zoran Tosic may prove the difference in front of the passionate home support, and a 1-0 home victory, at odds of 21/4, is the score to back.
And if you believe that Juventus player Krasic will be the man to grab the winner, you can back him at odds of 11/1 to score the last goal of the game.
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