Kick-off: 1945, 18/11/2020
Stadium: Cardiff City Stadium
TV: Sky Sports
Wales only need a point to claim promotion from Nations League Group B4 and may settle for a share of the spoils with second-placed Finland in Cardiff.
The visitors can still top the table if successful here, but did lose 1-0 to the Dragons on home turf in Helsinki back in September.
Everything points towards this being a tight tussle and 9/4 for a draw is our first Wales vs Finland prediction.
A Look At Wales’ Betting Odds
Wales did us a favour when edging out Republic of Ireland 1-0 at this venue on Sunday, with that result giving us a trio of winning tips, including a 9/2 correct score pay-out.
Bournemouth’s David Brooks headed home his second international goal from close range after 66 minutes to make it 10 games unbeaten in competitive football.
The Dragons have not conceded for over 700 minutes in Nations League fixtures and Euro 2020 qualifiers.
“The boys work hard for it,” said caretaker boss Robert Page. “That’s not just the back four or back five, it’s the goalkeeper as well.
“As a unit, they are well organised and hard working. We rode our luck a couple of times but we’re hard to break down.”
Wales have found it tough to sparkle at the other end, though, failing to score a first-half goal this year and only netting four times in seven outings, including friendlies.
All five of their Nations League games have been 1-0 or 0-0, so 17/10 for under 1.5 goals in this match stands out from the Wales vs Finland odds.
A Look At Finland’s Betting Odds
Finland will travel to the principality in fine spirits after a 2-1 triumph in Bulgaria kept them just one point behind Wales.
Norwich striker Teemu Pukki put Markku Kanerva’s side ahead early on and Robin Lod doubled the advantage on the stroke of half-time.
Dimitar Iliev pulled one back for Bulgaria from the penalty spot on 68 minutes, but Finland held on to set up this pool decider.
That was a fourth straight win for the Eagle-owls, who had upset World Cup winners France 2-0 in a Paris friendly four days earlier.
They beat Ireland 1-0 at home and away in this pool and have built up plenty of momentum since finishing second to Italy in their Euro 2020 qualifying group.
Like Wales, this well-drilled outfit relies on hard work and doing the basics right, so it will be a surprise if we don’t get a close encounter in Cardiff.
Let’s add 7/2 for the scores to be level at half-time and full-time to our Wales vs Finland betting tips.
WALES 1-0 Republic of Ireland – David Brooks
Bulgaria 1-2 FINLAND – Teemu Pukki, Robin Lod
Head-to-head: Finland 0-1 Wales, Wales 1-1 Finland, Finland 2-1 Wales, Wales 0-2 Finland, Wales 1-1 Finland
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