Real Madrid and Sevilla will contest the third all-Spanish UEFA Super Cup in succession, ensuring a seventh La Liga team in eight seasons has their name etched on the trophy.
Los Blancos will be without superstar attacking trio Cristiano Ronaldo, Gareth Bale and Karim Benzema for the inter-continental equivalent of the Community Shield, but despite this significant reduction in firepower, they remain the value punt in the match-betting stakes at 87/100.
Sevilla assume underdog status at 3/1, while it’s 5/2 about the draw, but profit-hunting wager-makers needn’t consider either alternative when Real can be backed at relatively close to evens.
Zinedine Zidane’s side may be fielding an entirely second-string frontline, but they’re in better shape than Los Rojiblancos, who lost manager Unai Emery, as well as a raft of key players in the summer.
Kevin Gameiro, scorer of 25 goals last term, left for Atletico Madrid, while midfielders Ever Banega and Grzegorz Krychowiak have been sold to Internazionale and Paris Saint-Germain respectively.
They’re three of 11 players on Sevilla’s books in 2015/16 whom they can’t call upon this time around.
No fewer than nine replacements have been sought in response to this mass exodus, but the disturbance such wholesale changes are bound to cause promises a slow start to life under Jorge Sampaoli.
It’s also important to consider the hot streak Champions League winners are surfing in the Super Cup – kings of Europe have prevailed in six of the last nine instalments.
Three of these victorious outfits – AC Milan, Real and Barcelona – claimed the crown at the expense of Europa League kingpins Sevilla.
Another detriment to their hopes of success is that the match marks Sampaoli’s first at the helm.
New managers have tended to fail in this fixture in recent years, with Inter, Porto and Chelsea all vanquished this decade having changed coaches in the months preceding their respective Super Cup appearances.
If all that wasn’t enough to encourage a bet on Real, the fact they’ve triumphed in both their Super Cup outings this century and beat Sevilla in four of their previous five meetings must be enough to twist your arm.