Everton’s trip to West Ham headlines the midweek FA Cup third round replays and the Toffees are poised to make their east London counterparts rue leaking an injury-time equaliser at Goodison Park a week ago.
Out of form they may be, but Roberto Martinez’s men are worth a punt at 37/20, with their Hammer hosts assuming 27/20 favouritism next to the 9/4-rated draw.
Romelu Lukaku, the scorer of the aforementioned replay-enforcing goal seven days prior, is the reason why the visitors must be favoured.
The Belgian bulldozer has an excellent record against the Irons and rates as exceptional value at 6/1 to notch the first of the game here.
It’s 7/4 that he registers at any time, which isn’t bad either when the stats are taken into consideration.
The 21-year-old has found the net in each of his four Everton appearances against this adversary.
Of this quartet, three strikes fell in the final ten minutes and two of them came after the former Chelsea man had come off the bench.
This adds appeal to the 13/5 about the away team bagging more than 0.5 goals in the final 15 minutes.
With one clean sheet in nine, West Ham are anything but impermeable at the moment, while Everton have only failed to notch in three of their last eight away matches.
These are condensed across their last four, but bagels at Manchester City (the Premier League champions) and Southampton (best defence in the top flight) are excusable.
Furthermore, their last loss at West Ham was way back in 2007, and they’ve prevailed on six of their previous seven east end sojourns.
Regardless of the Toffees’ form, they have dodged defeat in 15 straight meetings with the Boleyn Ground club and that, combined with Martinez’s penchant for FA Cup success, makes the away team the best bet here.
Since the Spaniard’s Wigan side were ejected from the competition by Swindon in 2011/12, Arsenal are the only team to best one of his outfits in the past two seasons, which came in the quarter-finals of the previous instalment.