Fulham might have clicked into gear at home but their away form remains a concern ahead of their FA Cup fourth-round trip to play Everton at Goodison Park.
Martin Jol’s side recovered from 2-0 down to beat high-flying Newcastle 5-2 at Craven Cottage on Saturday, with in-form American Clint Dempsey helping himself to a hat-trick.
The contrast between this performance and their most recent away encounter could not be more stark: the win against Newcastle came just seven days after Fulham had proved incapable of beating relegation-threatened Blackburn at Ewood Park despite playing against ten men for over an hour.
But this is about par for the course for the Cottagers – they have won four of their last five home league matches but are without a victory on their travels in their last six games.
As such, they are 14/5 outsiders to beat Everton tomorrow in bwin’s 3Way football betting market, with the Toffees priced at evens to win in 90 minutes and the draw at 9/4.
Only two of the last eight goals at Goodison Park have been scored in the first 45 minutes.
This is despite the fact that David Moyes’ men have only won one of their last five home games against Premier League opposition.
Significantly, the team selections of both managers for their respective third-round matches suggest they will field their first-choice sides for tomorrow’s game.
Jol made just one change to the side which beat Arsenal for the visit of League One Charlton, while Moyes had more leeway in a home game against Tamworth but still fielded the likes of Tim Howard, Landon Donovan and Sylvain Distin.
So given this game could have the feel of a Premier League encounter, it may be worth looking to Premier League trends to predict the final outcome.
With this in mind, the most obvious bet is on the game to contain fewer than 2.5 goals at 13/20.
Seven of Everton’s 11 home league games have contained no more than two goals, while the same can be said about nine of Fulham’s away games.
Indeed, there have been under 2.5 goals in 11 of Everton’s last 12 games in all competitions, potentially ruling out the sort of goal-ridden thriller seen at Craven Cottage a few days ago.
For longer odds, consider the 6/5 offered on there being more goals in the second half than there are in the first.
Both teams net over 70 per cent of their goals in the second half of matches, while only two of the last eight goals at Goodison Park have been scored in the first 45 minutes.
A successful £25 free bet on there being more goals in the second half than there are in the first is set to return £55, with the free bet available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
As for the final result, the most popular score for both teams in the last 20 matches has been 1-1, which is available at odds of 5/1.
Crucially, should Fulham manager to hold Everton to a draw then they would be good bets to make it through to the fifth round given they would hold home advantage in the replay.
As such, Fulham to progress to the next round looks a good option at 5/4 as opposed to Everton’s odds-on price of 57/100.
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