Not since Chelsea’s visit in September have Valencia failed to win at home in European competition, making the case for them to overturn their 4-2 Europa League semi-final first-leg deficit at home to Atletico Madrid an interesting one.
Los Che are priced at 91/100 to win the match against Atletico on Thursday night, as they did when the side from the capital visited in the Spanish league this season, and are available at 13/5 to reach the final by any means necessary.
Given that Atletico have scored in their last ten Europa League matches, they will expect to grab at least one away goal, which is given odds of 3/10, and that would make it very tough for Unai Emery’s men to advance.
That said, Valencia have scored 19 goals in those five consecutive home European wins, so backing them to win 2-1, 3-1 or 4-1 is definitely worth considering at odds of 7/2.
Atleti have won three in a row, however, meaning they are in better form than their hosts, who have picked up just two victories in their last five games.
The away side are rated as 27/10 shots to win in 90 minutes and are 13/50 to go through over the piece, while the draw on the night is available at 13/5.
Manager Diego Simeone will be counting on £35 million striker Radamel Falcao to lead Los Colchoneros through the tie.
Falcao scored twice in last week’s first leg and the odds on him scoring at any point again are 13/10.
New customers to bwin.com who use their free £25 bet on Falcao to get on the scoresheet could win £57.50 if we do indeed see a goal from the Colombian at the Mestalla.
Recommended bet: Falcao to score @ 13/10 Outside punt: Valencia to win 2-1, 3-1 or 4-1 @ 7/2
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