Borussia Dortmund are 57/100 favourites to beat Liverpool in Germany and shorter still to knock them out of the Europa League over two legs.
The odds imply former BVB manager Jurgen Klopp’s return to Signal Iduna Park, where he spent seven years up to last summer, will be a disappointing one.
Klopp’s record against clubs he used to coach and against current Dortmund tactician Thomas Tuchel suggest otherwise.
Since leaving Mainz, the Liverpool chief’s first team in management, he has played them 12 times, winning eight, drawing twice and losing twice.
That represents the third best record against any side he has come up against more than ten times in his dugout career.
Intriguingly many of those matches came when Mainz were under the tutelage of none other than Tuchel, who arrived at the carnival club a year after his departure.
Across ten managerial showdowns the now-Die-Schwarzgelben gaffer has bested Klopp just once, drawing twice and losing a sizeable seven times.
No boss to face the Liverpool leader on more than seven occasions has given up as high a points-per-game average as his two-time-replacement’s 2.30.
Such a one-sided ledger makes the 2/1 about the Merseysiders’ qualifying for the semi-final at Dortmund’s expense look a little generous.
More pressingly, the Reds are 9/2 for victory in Germany, while they’re 13/4 to secure a heartening draw and 27/20 in the double-chance betting.
The way Tuchel’s men destroyed Tottenham on home turf may put the punting majority off backing either wager.
However, they got the better of a diluted Lilywhites ensemble on that occasion and a stronger Liverpool line-up, which has proven capable of dismantling some decent teams when in the mood this term, will prove a tougher proposition.
Klopp’s men have yet to lose a Europa League game in ten outings too and have conceded only twice in the five of those fixtures played away from home.