Aldershot Town v Rochdale
Home win: 3/2 Draw: 9/4 Away win: 7/4
Betting tip: League Two side Aldershot are favourites to beat Rochdale at the Recreation Ground despite the Dale’s League One status. The Shots are unbeaten in their last seven games, with this run including a 2-1 win over West Ham at Upton Park. Although Rochdale beat QPR at Loftus Road in the last round, three away defeats out of four in the league so far this season suggests Aldershot can extend their unbeaten run this evening. And with Rochdale having conceded 12 goals in their last five games, back the Shots to win with a 1-0 handicap working against them at odds of 4/1.
Arsenal v Shrewsbury Town
Home win: 1/5 Draw: 21/4 Away win: 12/1
Betting tip: Arsenal might be on a bad run of form, but they have only been knocked out of a domestic cup competition to lower-league opposition once under Arsene Wenger’s management. As such, expect Arsenal to comfortably make it through to the next round, even if Wenger selects a much-changed team to the one which lost to Blackburn at the weekend. That said, Shrewsbury disposed of Championship side Derby and Premier League outfit Swansea in rounds one and two and scored three times in both games. With this in mind, the best bet could be on both sides to score in the game at odds of 19/20.
Aston Villa v Bolton Wanderers
Home win: 4/5 Draw: 5/2 Away win: 33/10
Betting tip: Bolton’s 2-1 win over Macclesfield in the Carling Cup second round last month is the only positive result they have achieved from their last five games. Meanwhile, Aston Villa are unbeaten so far this season and have won their last five Carling Cup ties at Villa Park. With Alex McLeish’s side odds-on for the victory, the best value could be in betting on Villa to be ahead at half-time. At odds of 13/10, this makes sense as Bolton have been behind at the interval in four of their five Premier League matches this season.
Burnley v MK Dons
Home win: Evens Draw: 23/10 Away win: 27/10
Betting tip: Burnley have yet to keep a clean sheet so far this season and have conceded at least twice in six of their eight matches this campaign. As such, MK Dons look good to score at 3/10. For bigger returns, back MK Dons to make it through to the next round at odds of 6/5. After all, they thrashed Norwich 4-0 in the last round and have only lost once so far this season.
Leeds United v Manchester United
Home win: 23/4 Draw: 33/10 Away win: 9/10
Betting tip: Leeds United will fancy their chances of beating the reigning Premier League champions at Elland Road this evening having knocked the Red Devils out of the FA Cup at Old Trafford in 2010. Their chances of making it through have been improved by manager Sir Alex Ferguson’s decision to leave star striker Wayne Rooney out of the Manchester United match squad. However, Leeds boss Simon Grayson is also expected to rotate his squad with an important Championship fixture against Brighton coming up on Friday. And with Michael Owen and Dimitar Berbatov ready to lead the Man Utd attack, back the Red Devils to be leading at half-time and full-time at odds of 23/20.
Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United
Home win: 21/10 Draw: 23/10 Away win: 5/4
Betting tip: Struggling Forest have their work cut out against Newcastle this evening, with Steve McLaren’s men on a run of three defeats in a row. The Magpies, by way of contrast, are unbeaten so far this season. With Newcastle yet to score a first half goal this campaign, backing the game to be level at the interval and for Newcastle to be ahead at the final whistle could pay off handsomely at odds of 9/2.
Stoke City v Tottenham Hotspur
Home win: 31/20 Draw: 12/5 Away win: 8/5
Betting tip: Stoke boss Tony Pulis is likely to change his team significantly as he seeks to manage his squad, although the fact he has no injury worries to factor in means the Potters will still be able to field a competitive-looking side. Spurs manager Harry Redknapp is also likely to chop and change, although with many of the youngsters who experienced Europa League action in Greece last week set for another run-out, Stoke are likely to have the strongest starting XI on paper. And with the Potters yet to concede at home in the league this season, take advantage of odds of 14/5 on Stoke to keep a clean sheet.
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Millwall
Home win: 17/20 Draw: 12/5 Away win: 16/5
Betting tip: A promising start to the season for Wolves has been spoiled by consecutive defeats, although happily for Mick McCarthy’s men Millwall’s form is equally patchy. The Lions have won just one of their last four games and have not scored in the league since a 2-2 draw with Peterborough on 17th August. Back a narrow 1-0 Wolves win at 7/1.
Blackburn v Leyton Orient
Home win: 7/20 Draw: 7/2 Away win: 8/1
Betting tip: Leyton Orient are on a disastrous run of form having not won for five matches, while Blackburn will be on a high after beating Arsenal on Saturday. Steve Kean is tipped to give chances to a number of fringe players, although given Orient have lost seven of 12 games this season Rovers should still have enough to get through. Back them to win 2-1 at 29/4 given Orient have scored once in each of their last four matches.
Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough
Home win: 21/10 Draw: 23/10 Away win: 5/4
Betting tip: No better guide for this match was offered than a 1-0 Middlesbrough win at Selhurst Park on Saturday. Meanwhile, Boro emerged victorious the last two times the teams played each other in the League Cup, in 1995 and 2005. With Tony Mowbray’s side having only conceded once in the league away from the Riverside this season, back another 1-0 win for the Teessiders at 29/4.
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