With a Wembley final against League Two Bradford City awaiting the winner, Swansea City and Chelsea do battle in their Capital One Cup semi-final second leg at the Liberty Stadium tonight knowing the victor will never have a better chance of League Cup glory.
And it is the Swans who are in the driving seat after their 2-0 win at Stamford Bridge in the first leg a fortnight ago as Michael Laudrup looks to lead the Welsh side into their first ever domestic cup final.
Chelsea have won four League Cups in their history but must beat Swansea by at least two goals to stand any chance of making it a fifth. bwin make the Blues favourites to win the match at 7/10, with the Swans 333/100 to win and 3/1 to get the draw that would see them qualify.
But before you have a bet, take a look at the below collection of statistics, any of which could sway you in a particular direction.
2: Both Premier League matches to be played between Swansea City and Chelsea at the Liberty Stadium have produced two goals and it is 31/20 for exactly two goals to be scored again in Wednesday’s second leg. Those games finished 1-1, and you can get 27/4 with bwin on a repeat scoreline.
3.67: The number of goals Chelsea are averaging per match in this season’s Capital One Cup. It is 37/20 for the Blues to hit three or more in South Wales.
7: Michu, who has netted 16 goals in all competitions this season, has opened the scoring seven times in matches during 2012/13. The Spaniard is 13/2 to score first at the Liberty.
14: Another Spaniard, Juan Mata, is Chelsea’s top scorer with 14 goals this season and the former Valencia man is 2/1 to score at any time during the regular 90 minutes.
39: The number of yellow cards match referee Chris Foy has shown in 20 games this season, at an average of 1.95 per match. It is 87/100 for under 3.5 bookings inside 90 minutes.