Andre Villas-Boas’ insistence that he will field the “maximum number of young players” in the Carling Cup despite facing a tricky trip to Goodison Park to face Everton could prove Chelsea’s undoing this evening.
The west London outfit go into the Carling Cup fourth round tie as 5/4 favourites to win in normal time and are 3/5 on to make it through to the next round, leaving Everton as underdogs despite boasting home advantage.
However, David Moyes’ decision to select a strong squad for this evening’s encounter, in contrast to Villas-Boas’ policy of blooding youngsters, could yet give the Toffees the edge.
This makes the 21/10 on offer for Everton to beat Chelsea in 90 minutes worth greater consideration than it would normally be if Chelsea were guaranteed to be fielding the likes of Juan Mata, Frank Lampard, Ashley Cole, Ramires and Fernando Torres – all of whom are likely to miss out on a place in the starting XI this evening.
Meanwhile, Everton are priced at 6/5 to make it through to the next round, with a draw after 90 minutes at 23/10.
Everton have recent history of dumping Chelsea out of cup competitions having defeated the 2010 Premier League champions on penalties at Stamford Bridge in an FA Cup fourth round replay last February.
Significantly, Everton also won the last league meeting between the two clubs at Goodison Park, emerging 1-0 victors from their clash in May.
And with Chelsea only winning two of the last ten fixtures between the pair, a win for the Toffees should certainly not be greeted with surprise.
A successful £25 free bet on Everton to beat Chelsea in 90 minutes would return £77.50, with the free bet available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
However, the margin of victory is unlikely to be too great given recent history, with only one of the last ten clashes between Chelsea and Everton ending in a winning margin of more than one goal.
This makes the odds of 13/10 on a team winning by a single goal worth a punt, although the best bet could be on an Everton win with under 3.5 goals in the match.
This bet is available at odds of 3/1 and, given eight of the last ten meetings between Everton and Chelsea have contained no more than three combined goals, it offers a good route for punters looking to win back four times their stake.
New customers can register here to claim a free £25 bet or click here to see all our Carling Cup odds.
Follow us on Twitter @bwinbetting