As far as punting paradigms go, backing the in-form lower league side to knock out struggling Premier League opposition is one of the classics.
On the face of it Bournemouth’s Capital One Cup clash with Liverpool is a perfect example of just such as situation.
The Cherries are 11/4 outsiders for victory despite having eliminated West Brom with a second-string side in the previous round and being unbeaten in 12 games.
Brendan Rodgers’ men, meanwhile, have won just two of their last ten games and come in to the tie short enough on form and confidence to look worth taking on at evens, with the draw rated a 9/4 shot.
However, closer scrutiny suggests that there are a host of reasons to suggest the Anfield side can claim a confidence-salving success at the Goldsands Stadium.
For Liverpool’s goal-starved strikers there’s the prospect of playing a side that have conceded twice or more in three of their past four games.
Given how many chances the Merseysiders managed to create against Manchester United at Old Trafford it wouldn’t be unreasonable to suggest they might profit to a greater extent against opposition of a lower rank.
Bournemouth have also shipped twice in each of their last four home games, with Championship stragglers Millwall and Brighton among the visitors in that period.
Meanwhile, for all the hand-wringing over Liverpool’s recent form, their Old Trafford reverse was the only time they’ve ended up on the losing side in the last six games.
With the exception of the United clash, always something of a match apart, their defence has been looking sharper of late too, with Lucas’ inclusion in the line-up undoubtedly playing its part.
In the four matches preceding their loss to the Red Devils, Liverpool conceded no more than once.
Returning to that level of defensive chastity would be enough to see them prevail if Bournemouth’s leaky rearguard continues conceding at their recent rate.