Odds: Leicester 31/10, The Draw: 5/2, Man Utd: 85/100
The Foxes leaked eight goals in two lucrative ties with potential Champions League foes ahead of their second appearance in the Community Shield, where they’ll face another European heavyweight in Manchester United.
Negative results may have marred what has been the glitziest pre-season in Leicester’s history so far, but compensation is forthcoming in the form of a maiden victory under the Wembley arch.
Win, Lose or Draw?
If 4-0 and 4-2 batterings at the hands of PSG and Barcelona had dented the Foxes’ belief in their ability to compete with the continent’s best, bagging the season’s first piece of silverware at the expense of the Red Devils will serve as a timely ego massage.
Jose Mourinho’s troops endured their own pre-season humbling against Borussia Dortmund, losing 4-1 to the Bundesliga runners up in their only ICC excursion of the summer.
They’ve since recovered with a 5-2 win over Galatasaray before recording a goalless draw in Wayne Rooney’s testimonial against Everton, but the grim fates of recent FA Cup winners in the Community Shield suggests this one won’t go according to plan.
Arsenal prevailed in the previous two editions having conquered the world’s oldest cup competition in the campaign prior.
The Gunners’ recent successes account for a third of the wins FA Cup winners have managed in the 16 Community Shields this century, with Premier League champions claiming five of the seven dishes before that.
Further Leicester encouragement comes from Mourinho’s poor record in this fixture.
The Portuguese has led Chelsea in four attempts to lift the communal platter, with his only triumph coming in his first appearance.
Recommended bet: Leicester to win @ 31/10
Despite Leicester leaking goals galore in pre-season, expect a low-scoring encounter here.
Fewer than three were notched in both the Foxes’ meetings with Man Utd last time around, while their victory over Mourinho’s Chelsea only just crept over the same threshold.
Their last five competitive games against domestic opponents contested outside of the King Power Stadium contained no more than two goals either, while the previous pair of Community Shield matches to involve the new United chief were equally lacking in goals.
Recommended bet: Leicester to win & under 2.5 goals @ 27/4
Who’s Going To Score?
Just seven of the previous 20 goals scored in this fixture have been provided by a striker so steer clear of Jamie Vardy, Zlatan Ibrahimovic and the like.
Defenders account for three of the strikes across this period, leaving wingers/midfielders to fill the remainder of the quota.
Working on the premise that Leicester are going to win in a game of few goals, backing a Foxes middleman to do the damage is the shrewdest way to bet here.
Riyad Mahrez is an obvious candidate, though Ahmed Musa, fresh from his brace against Barcelona, provides an enticing alternative.
Recommended bet: Musa to score first @ xx
In five of the previous six finals, exactly one goal was scored in the first half.
The 2011/12 edition was the only instance across the timeframe in question where the net was rustled more than once before the break, with Edin Dzeko’s trend-busting strike coming one minute into injury-time.
Recommended bet: Exactly one goal to be scored in the first half @ 33/20