Trailing from the first leg and without an away goal Bayern Munich are in grave danger of being eliminated at the semi-final stage of the Champions League, despite their overwhelming odds to beat Atletico Madrid at the Allianz.
Pep Guardiola’s men can be backed at 57/100 to best their 6/1-rated underdog opponents, while a price of 11/10 to qualify for the final offers insight as to how the bookies regard Atleti’s 1-0 advantage is far from insurmountable.
While this may be true, Bayern’s position is an unenviable one given that they must find a way through Los Colchoneros’ reinforced rearguard without conceding at the other end.
It’s not only reputation that makes Diego Simeone’s men a great punt to qualify for the showpiece at 3/4, but a string of stats lend more support to the friendless Spaniards.
Their propensity for clean sheet keeping is well known and they arrive in Munich looking to extend a staggering run of six straight shut outs across all competitions.
In 11 Champions League fixtures this term, they’ve stopped their adversaries from finding the net on eight separate occasions.
Their La Liga clean sheet count stands at 23 from 36 games, with an incredibly lean 16 goals shipped in that time.
Bayern haven’t been as imperious on the homestead of late either, failing to stop their opponents scoring in four of their last nine, three of which they were unable to win inside regulation time.
However, arguably the most telling piece of information that renders Atleti’s price for progression fantastic value is that not since the 2009/10 campaign have they lost a European game by a scoreline that would see them eliminated here.
Chelsea beat a Colchoneros outfit lacking the same tactical discipline or superstar quality the current edition boasts 4-0 at Stamford Bridge, but no team has come close to matching the Blues’ effort since.