Not even 11 months have passed since Chelsea last locked horns with Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League yet much has changed.
The Londoners are 9/20 to eliminate les Parisiens from the competition and their favouritism reflects the fact they have accumulated far more positives in the interim.
Chelsea have recruited a prolific centre forward
This time last term the Blues had failed to address a glaring lack of decent number nines in the January transfer window – now they have Diego Costa.
Costa has struck 17 times for the Blues in 27 games across all competitions this term and can be backed to score in a 1-0 Chelsea win in Paris at 25/1.
PSG are no longer peerless Ligue 1 overlords
Laurent Blanc’s men were 13 points clear of Monaco in the build up to their quarter-final first-leg meeting with the Stamford Bridge side.
This time around they are current residents of the division’s third rung, two points behind leaders Lyon and trailing Marseille on goal difference.
A staggering ten draws show that closing out victories is one of their main concerns.
Marquinhos has become a major player for Les Parisiens
The Brazilian started a relatively modest 23 of PSG’s 54 games last season, but a litany of injuries to his fellow defensemen have pushed him to the fore this term.
He’s already started 21 of their 38 outings in 2014/15 becoming a major player at centre-half or right-back when required.
Les Rouges et Bleus have lost just three times this season, yet each defeat has been sustained when Marquinhos wasn’t in the XI.
Unfortunately for Blanc the Brazilian will be injured for Chelsea’s visit.
Chelsea colossus Nemanja Matic is in the house
The Serbian had already begun to win rave reviews for the Blues following his big-money return from Benfica but he was cup tied for last year’s meetings with PSG.
Matic’s absence has coincided with both Chelsea’s defeats this term, suggesting he, above Costa or Cesc Fabregas is Chelsea’s most valuable player.
PSG have one of the smallest squads in Ligue 1
If Chelsea have adapted smoothly to the demands of operating within Financial Fair Play rules, the same cannot be said for les Parisiens.
Finding it tough to square their roster’s huge wages with life in Ligue 1, PSG have ended up with a squad lacking even the depth of some of their domestic rivals.
They lost four men to injury last time out against Caen, while another two are touch and go for the Londoners’ visit leaving boss Blanc clutching at straws.
Chelsea’s knack for big-match wins has largely deserted them
Life hasn’t been all on the up and up since the Blues last saw Paris in the spring.
Last term they made an art of winning crunch matches against the likes of Manchester City and Liverpool, especially away from home.
This season they’ve failed to best the Citizens twice, despite taking the lead on both occasions.