Kick-off: 2000, 05/05/2021
Stadium: Stamford Bridge
TV: BT Sport
Chelsea looked the better team in the first leg of this Champions League semi-final and would be justified in feeling they deserved more than a 1-1 draw in the Spanish capital.
Christian Pulisic’s opener was cancelled out by Karim Benzema but Chelsea’s away goal means Madrid must score at Stamford Bridge to have any chance of progressing.
That should play into the hands of the Blues and we like 6/5 for a home win in 90 minutes as our opening Chelsea vs Real Madrid prediction.
A Look At Chelsea’s Betting Odds
Chelsea would have been in firm control of the tie had Timo Werner not spurned two gilt-edged chances in the first leg.
Benzema’s peerless exhibition of clinical marksmanship rescued the draw for a Real side muddled by a change of formation and the Blues’ technical and tactical acumen.
Pulisic became the first man to score past former Chelsea stopper Thibaut Courtois in six hours and 44 minutes but Werner had already been denied by a short-range save.
The ex-RB Leipzig striker was unable to convert another big opening, failing to connect with Pulisic’s cross, as Real’s three-man defence was repeatedly exposed.
The ease at which Chelsea were able to beat the press and run at a defence lacking pace will encourage Thomas Tuchel’s men, while Benzema’s neat finish highlighted the risk involved in playing for a goalless draw.
Goals usually flow in the second legs of Champions League semi-finals, with over 2.5 goals paying out in 15 of the last 20 second legs at this stage of the competition.
Three of the other five matches produced two goals and there has not been a 0-0 draw in the second leg since 2006.
With that in mind, over 2.5 goals looks great value at 23/20 in the Chelsea vs Real Madrid odds.
A Look At Real Madrid’s Betting Odds
Real boss Zinedine Zidane insisted the draw was a reasonable reflection of the first leg but he will have more sleepless nights than Tuchel ahead of the second leg.
They were particularly fortunate to be level at half-time, having struggled to cope with Chelsea’s extra pace in the first 45 minutes.
“I think it’s a fair result, it’s true that the first half was not our best,” said Zidane. “We had some difficulties but in the second half it was better so I’d say it was a fair result.
“You have to suffer but I am happy for all my players, because we are alive. We know we have to go to London, try to score and win the match.”
If Chelsea can take advantage of another lively start, Real will be under even greater pressure to attack but we fancy the Blues to pick them off on the break.
We’re happy to take a punt on the hosts winning both halves at 23/4 as our final Chelsea vs Real Madrid prediction.
REAL MADRID 1-1 CHELSEA – Karim Benzema + Christian Pulisic
Head-to-head: Real Madrid 1-1 Chelsea, Chelsea 1-0 Real Madrid, Chelsea 2-1 Real Madrid, Chelsea 1-1 Real Madrid
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