Despite confirming their continent-conquering credentials with a 2-2 draw at the Parc des Princes last week, Manchester City haven’t been able to shake underdog status for the second leg of their Champions League quarter final with Paris Saint-Germain.
The Citizens are 3/4 favourites to advance to the semis, but Les Rouges et Bleus are clearly the bookies’ fancy on the night, able to back at 27/20 for a progress-guaranteeing Etihad win.
Odds masters’ affection for PSG has presented us savvy wager makers with a glorious opportunity to turn a profit, with City available at 39/20 and the draw a 5/2 offering.
However, it’s the 6/1 about a home win with over 3.5 goals scored that we like best as a repeat of the goalfest served up in the French capital looms.
Three of the Citizens’ last four Champions League matches have seen the net bulge on enough occasions to land the first part of this bet.
PSG are au fait with goal-laden games too, with four of their last five in Europe containing a minimum of three strikes, while they’ve notched at least two in all bar one of their previous seven road trips across all competitions.
Half of the last eight City home matches have seen exactly four goals scored and, in addition to this, 11 have been recorded over their previous three home and away.
Recent PSG meetings with Premier League-based adversaries have been stuffed with goals too. Their six clashes with Chelsea to take place across the past three seasons have all seen two or more scored, with Les Parisiens notching twice on their last two trips to England.
The firepower both protagonists possess is evident in these stats and the visitors’ penchant for punishment should bring our bet home.
Just one win (against Chelsea in the previous) is all Laurent Blanc’s men have mustered in seven trips across the Channel and they’ve been vanquished in three of four matches they’ve played at this stage of the competition.
City haven’t got much Champions League history to call upon for support, but having drawn and scored twice in the first leg, they must be confident of getting a win here.