It looks too close to call between Juventus and Real Madrid in Turin, with plenty of reasons to believe 21/10 about the draw in this Champions League semi-final is the sensible outright betting course.
The hosts are unbeaten in eight European fixtures at Juventus Stadium since April 2013, and have won four of their five home games in the continent’s top tourney so far this term, so punters will be tempted to tuck into Massimiliano Allegri’s men at already-shrinking 7/4 odds.
However, the Old Lady is taking on the European champions, and they’re in pretty sharp form themselves.
Real Madrid have only failed to win one of their past nine all-competition fixtures, and that was a goalless draw away to neighbours Atletico, who they put out of the Champions League with a 1-0 Bernabeu triumph.
Their last loss on the road came at in-form Barcelona, even then only by a goal, and Carlo Ancelotti’s European kings will go all out to take something back to Madrid ahead of the second leg.
These two played out a 2-2 draw last time they met in Italy 18 months ago. Honours even again looks the best bet at 21/10, although under 2.5 goals gets the nod this time at the indicatively-short price of 8/13 with bwin.
Allegri’s men have been involved in three sub-three-goal home games in the competition this term, and five of their past six in all comps at headquarters saw under 2.5 strikes trouble the scoreboard operator.
Los Blancos are good, but they may not be good enough to blitz the Bianconeri’s smart backline.
For a goalscorer bet, the hosts have only failed to score at home once in 24 attempts this term, against Atleti in December, so swerve the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo (6/5 to bag at anytime, despite scoring in just one of his past four games) in favour of Chilean midfielder Arturo Vidal.
The 27-year-old hasn’t been overly prolific this season, notching just eight goals in all competitions after firing home 18 times for Juventus in 2013/14, but two of them have come over the past three weeks, with each opening and closing the scoring in 1-0 wins.
Indeed, Vidal has either bagged the first or last goal six times in the seven games he has scored in this season, so backing both of those outcomes at 8/1 apiece looks the business here.