Real Madrid must overturn a 2-1 first-leg deficit against Juventus if they are to set up the first ever Champions League final Clasico.
Los Blancos are 7/10 favourites to qualify at Juve’s expense, with Massimiliano Allegri’s men 23/20 underdogs to win through to face Barcelona.
However, if Real thought the Bianconeri were stubborn opponents in Turin, they could be in for a chastening night on home soil, with the Italians even more impermeable on the road.
Juventus have conceded 16 times in 27 games in their own backyard this season, an average of 0.59 an outing.
Beyond the confines of their stronghold there has been an even greater focus on miserliness, with a mere 12 goals given up in 24 matches.
An impressive 14 clean sheets were kept during the accumulation of that sequence, including one in each of their last three Champions League away ties.
If ever Real’s record of 52 straight games without drawing a blank at Santiago Bernabeu is to fall, it could be against Allegri’s well-drilled outfit.
Real Madrid are 9/2 to draw a blank at home for the first time since September 28th, 2013 and with less onus on the visitors to attack, Carlo Ancelotti’s men could find themselves up against a black and white wall.
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It’s in such a situation that a manager needs his most astute passers of the ball and Ancelotti will rue the fact that Luka Modric remains out of action.
The Italians, by contrast, find themselves bolstered by the return from injury of one of their marquee midfielders in Paul Pogba, who found the net against Cagliari at the weekend.
He’s 12/1 to net the first goal in Madrid, with bwin’s double-winnings offer meaning that the firm will multiply first-scorer profits by two if he goes on to net again in the fixture.