Bayern Munchen might have suffered defeat in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final with Real Madrid, but the slender margin of the loss renders their price to advance to the final exceptional value.
Odds of 23/20 state Pep Guardiola’s men will overturn a 1-0 deficit and book a place in the Lisbon showpiece when they host Los Blancos next week, which is a phenomenal offering considering FCB are a measly 13/20 to win the match.
Their failure to score in Spain is responsible for these inflated odds, meaning should Real bag at the Allianz Arena then FC Bayern must win by a two-goal margin in order to progress, but the stats suggest achieving such a feat is more than feasible so don’t ignore this generosity.
Read on for the rationale as to why backing the Bavarian beast to slay the maestros from Madrid is the only Champions League bet to be on ahead of the semi-final second legs:
Real Madrid have never won away at FC Bayern in their esteemed history.
The best result Carlo Ancelotti’s side have mustered at the home of Munich’s finest is a 1-1 draw in 2004.
Each of the nine visits that surround this share of the spoils have ended in defeat for Los Merengues, meaning the hosts will not be doubting themselves ahead of the return fixture.
Even if Real do manage to score, the reigning Champions League champions need not fear the worst.
An away goal for the Spanish capital club means Bayern must score twice to advance, but they’ve put such a cushion between themselves and 15 of the sides they’ve entertained this term.
The German aces will also take solace from the fact that Real have conceded two goals in half of their previous six road games.
Athletic Bilbao, Sevilla and Bayern’s compatriots Borussia Dortmund have all put two past the Madrid net minder in recent weeks.
Manchester City and Hoffenheim are the only outfits to have avoided defeat when shipping at least two at the Allianz this campaign and if Real’s porous habits come to the fore next week then they face elimination.
