Following a 1-1 draw in Istanbul, Chelsea host Galatasaray in the second leg of their Champions League last-16 tie knowing that a clean sheet will ensure they advance to the quarter final.
The Blues have been the most stringent of hosts in recent weeks, handing out bagels to each of their previous five visitors and, therefore, will be supremely confident of becoming the first Premier League representative to book a last-eight spot.
A price as short as 9/25 says they’ll win the game in normal time, while the Turkish champions are available for the brave to back at 7/1 with 17/4 saying the spoils will be shared.
Loitering around the 4/5 mark, plenty will be tempted to wager against Roberto Mancini’s men scoring, but the 2/1 that says they’ll avoid defeat is the bet to be on.
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It sounds unlikely, but scroll down for the rationale.
No home side in seven have got the better of Galatasaray.
While Aslan may have only bested one opponent in this spell, an unwavering refusal to be beat has seen them come from behind to draw three times in this period.
Such stubbornness has allowed them to string a 15-game unbeaten run together, which bodes well ahead of their Stamford Bridge sojourn.
They have already exceeded expectations in the Champions League this campaign.
Drawn alongside Real Madrid and Juventus in the group stage, few fancied to see the financially stricken Turks still standing post-Christmas.
Their resilience was exemplified in Turin, when they held the Old Lady to a decisive 2-2 draw, before gunning them down in a 1-0 home win.
Chelsea’s home and away defeats to Basel confirms they’re far from invincible too.
A tied game has been the most common outcome when Gala have tackled an English adversary.
There’s no Blighty victory on their books, but from a total of 18 collisions with sides of Anglo-origin, they’ve drawn a total of eight and are great value to avoid another loss here.