A first-leg horror show has left FC Bayern Munchen in a spot of Champions League bother, but despite trailing quarter-final foes Porto 3-1, Pep Guardiola’s men rate a great bet to qualify for the semis.
The price about Die Roten achieving the feat seems a little on the short side at 95/100, but the true value of the wager is revealed when the five factors are taken into consideration.
So strong is the prospect of this punt copping, would-be wager-makers are advised to invest their £30 free bet awarded for opening an account at bwin.com in the outcome and land a respectable £28.50 profit when it comes to pass.
Here’s why it’s going to:
Bayern boast a fearsome home record.
They have may have recently been bested by on-song Bundesliga outfit Borussia Monchengladbach, but nine wins without conceding at base camp is an impressive return from their last 12 games.
That recent defeat is one of just two instances they have failed to prevail at the Allianz in 2014/15, while 14 of their 19 matches this season have finished with Munchen laundry unblemished.
In Champions League home games, FCB have fared even better.
Four adversaries have ventured into their Bavaria stronghold in this competition.
Each has left defeated, unable to score and having shipped a combined 13 goals.
With Bayern only requiring a 2-0 win to advance on away goals, maintaining these standards will guarantee progression.
Guardiola’s men have a favourable record against Portuguese outfits.
In ten two-legged affairs with opponents hailing from the birthplace of Christopher Columbus, FC Hollywood have chalked up eight victories, drawing the remaining two.
As good as Bayern are against sides from this nation, Porto are as hopeless when tackling teams from the land of bratwurst and lederhosen.
They’ve been defeated in eight of ten two-legged ties against German-based teams.
Their first and only victory against a side of this nationality came in last term’s Europa League last 32 over measly-by-comparison Eintracht Frankfurt, who they required away goals to surpass.
Porto have lost four of six European quarter finals.
The only two instances when the Dragoes have advanced beyond the previous eight they won the competition.
They’re treading what is relatively unfamiliar territory too, having last ventured as far in 2008/09, when they were dispatched by Manchester United.
Bayern have key men in contention, while Porto are without important players.
According to German publication Bild, former Chelsea winger Arjen Robben could make a return from a stomach muscle tear in the game, while wideman partner-in-crime Franck Ribery has a chance of being selected too.
Their combined hauls in this competition and the Bundesliga reads 27 goals and 15 assists, so their potential returns could be devastating with Porto’s two first-choice full-backs Alex Sandro and Danilo absent through suspension.