As uphill tasks go, FC Bayern Munich’s attempt to overturn a 3-0 deficit against Barcelona certainly ranks in the Everestian category.
Pep Guardiola’s side were on the end of a Lionel Messi-inspired beating back at the Camp Nou, and now need a miracle to advance to the final.
However, while the 10/1 they qualify is a longshot, the 33/20 they at least win the second leg looks an excellent bet.
New bwin customers can claim a £30 free bet, which could deliver a handsome £49.50 profit if used to back the Bavarians and Guardiola’s side grab the win.
Click here to get the full lowdown on bwin’s welcome offer: http://promos.bwin.com/en/p2015/CL-WelcomeBonus-FCBM
Here’s five reasons to believe they’ll do just that.
Bayern have a 100% record in front of their own fans in the Champions League this season.
Although the Bundesliga champions have lost three times on the road in Europe’s premier tournament, they’ve been unstoppable at home.
Their record reads five games, five wins, with a ridiculous 19 goals scored including 13 in their two knockout ties at the Allianz Arena.
Barcelona have only won three of their last nine away trips in the Champions League knockout stages.
Like Bayern, the Catalans are often imperious at home, but sketchy away in the Champions League.
They’ve lost four of their last nine away ties in the knockout rounds, with Manchester City (twice) and PSG the only teams Barcelona have bested.
The Bavarian side have never lost at home to Los Blaugrana.
Barcelona have travelled to Munich four times in their history, and are yet to come away with a win, losing two out of three Champions League games at the Allianz.
Bayern have not lost four matches in a row since 1977.
Guardiola’s side have been on a horrible run of form since clinching the German title, but history suggests it won’t continue much longer.
The German side have a far more impressive record in Champions League semi-finals than their Spanish visitors.
Barcelona have made 15 European Cup and Champions League semi-finals, but only then gone onto the final seven times – failing in three of their past four.
Meanwhile Bayern have converted a last-four spot into a final berth on ten out of 16 occasions.