Chelsea are heavy 23/100 favourites to beat Genk in their Champions League Group E fixture in Belgium this evening, although they are unlikely to find it as easy to secure three points as they did when the two teams met a fortnight ago.
The Blues eased to an easy 5-0 success against Genk at Stamford Bridge on 19th October but since then have lost their way slightly, with two league defeats – including Saturday’s 5-3 loss to Arsenal – sandwiching a Carling Cup win over Everton.
Genk, by way have contrast, have bounced back from their 5-0 drubbing with two successive league wins, including a remarkable triumph over FC Bruges in which they scored three times in the final 18 minutes to come back from 4-2 down to win 5-4.
However, while Chelsea have struggled defensively they have not been short of goals at the other end of the pitch, scoring an average of 3.33 goals in their last six matches.
As such, coach Mario Been is confident of an upset and has targeted a win or a draw from the fixture.
The prices of 19/4 for the draw and 11/1 for a home win in bwin’s 3Way football betting market indicate Been is unlikely to get his wish, although betting on Genk to score at 21/20 has a better chance of coming off.
This would be something of an achievement given Genk have yet to score in the group stage so far this season, although with five bagged in their last outing they are well placed to break their duck.
Chelsea’s recent defensive record will also give Genk hope, with the Blues having kept just four clean sheets in their fifteen matches this season.
A successful £25 free bet on Genk to score would return £51.25, with the free bet available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
However, while Chelsea have struggled defensively they have not been short of goals at the other end of the pitch, scoring an average of 3.33 in their last six games.
With Genk likely to have learned some of the lessons from Stamford Bridge and having stopped Valencia scoring at the Cristal Arena earlier in the group, Andre Villas-Boas’ men will struggle to score another five goals.
Nevertheless, with the attacking talent of Fernando Torres, Juan Mata and Daniel Sturridge at their disposal, the Blues still look well placed to outscore their opponents, which means the best bet could be on a 2-1, 3-1 or 4-1 win for Chelsea at 31/10.
Finally, those looking to bet in the goalscorer markets would do worse than to bet on Kevin de Bruyne to score at any time at 9/2 after he scored a hat trick for Genk against Bruges.
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