After winning their three Champions League home games so far this term by a combined score of 6-0, five-time Kings of Europe FC Bayern Munchen are somewhat prohibitively priced at 9/50 to see off Shakhtar Donetsk at the Allianz Arena, so some creative thinking is required.
The black and gold boys at bwin.com offer 8/11 about Pep Guardiola’s side beating the champions of Ukraine without conceding in the win-to-nil market, which looks a tidy bet considering FCB have managed as much in 12 of their 16 home fixtures so far this season.
Indeed, Guardiola’s backline has only been breached by four goals all term in front of the faithful, and Murcea Lucescu’s men couldn’t manage to fire in the first leg with home advantage, suggesting they’ve got no chance in the heart of Bavaria.
However, Shakhtar haven’t conceded any first half Champions League goals over their last ten outings in the continent’s top tournament, stretching back to last year’s group stages.
Furthermore, the hosts have only gone into the break ahead in half of their past ten fixtures, and just twice by more than a single strike.
FCB took a little time to warm up at home early on in the Champions League campaign too, finishing off Manchester City courtesy of Jerome Boateng’s 90th-minute opener in September and bagging exactly once before the break against both Roma and CSKA Moscow.
Such form suggests the hosts are far too short at 1/2 to be ahead when the pie queue is at its zenith. Get behind the 3/1 about a draw at half time and FCB win once the final whistle has blown instead.
Arjen Robben is the Bundesliga champions’ top scorer this season with 19 in all competitions, but a whopping 17 of those have come on domestic duty and the rampant Dutchman falls to joint-third best FC Bayern marksmen in Europe, behind Thomas Muller and Mario Gotze.
The latter tops the pile with four, and two of those have rounded off proceedings in his side’s past couple of Champions League fixtures on their own patch.
With that in mind, Gotze to score last at 4/1 ranks as the best scorer bet on offer by a street.
Punters who have yet to sign up for an account at bwin.com can do so today and receive a £30 free bet, which would bring in a pristine £120 profit if placed on Gotze to score last and he does the business.