Arsenal will tiptoe out onto the Westfalenstadion turf with some trepidation knowing they face a Borussia Dortmund side who have won all eight games in front of their own raucous support this term and last failed to win a Champions League game in Westphalia back in 2011.
However, four Bundesliga clubs managed to record away victories over Jurgen Klopp’s men in 2012/13.
The common characteristics of their performances provide a recipe for a Gunners victory which can be backed at odds of 18/5, while the north Londoners are 3/1 to defy their hosts with a draw and just 13/20 to be vanquished.
Three of the four sides to beat Die Schwarzgelben at home last term limited them to a single goal.
Wolfsburg are the only side to win in Dortmund despite allowing their hosts two goals since 2011.
Luckily the Gunners’ well-drilled road rearguard haven’t shipped more than a single strike in their last 14 away games, however they’ve been breached once in six of those they contested this season, making the odds of 5/2 about their adversaries notching one the apposite wager.
Just one of those teams to conquer Dortmund in their back yard in 2012/13 didn’t go in with a half-time lead.
Arsene Wenger’s travellers will have to overcome a first-period sluggishness which has dogged their last five away games, all of which have been 0-0 when the oranges were distributed.
It’s 7/2 that the visitors’ can get halfway there with an advantage on Champions League matchday four.
The hosts lost a man to a straight red card in all bar one of their Westfalenstadion defeats last season.
More often than not it took a red rag to bring out the bulls in Dortmund’s victorious 2012/13 visitors, with Marcel Schmelzer, Robert Lewandowski and Roman Weidenfeller – all of whom are in line to play tonight – given their marching orders.
The Polish goal-getter was a touch fortunate not to receive further censorship for his elbow on Laurent Koscielny in the sides’ Emirates meeting and is inside the top 30 fouls-per-game averagers in the competition.
Meanwhile Weidenfeller has already been sent off once in their Group F campaign, offering Arsenal further encouragement and highlighting the virtues of a punt on Klopp’s men kopping the first red card at 17/2.