While extra time to prepare for an important match would normally be an advantage, the fact Marseille haven’t played since their 2-0 defeat to Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final will surely be of concern to the French side’s manager Didier Deschamps ahead of the return leg in Germany.
For while Bayern were able to extend their winning run to three games and make it six wins in seven unbeaten matches with a 1-0 success over Nuremberg on Saturday, Marseille are still stuck on a run of nine games without a victory in a sequence which includes seven defeats.
As a result, Bayern go into the match not only as strong favourites to win on the night in bwin’s 3Way football betting market, but odds-on at 1/100 to progress to the next round.
Worryingly for Marseille, not only are Jupp Heynckes’ men in the winning mood but they are scoring plenty of goals while remaining tight at the back.
Bayern’s last 13 games have seen them keep nine clean sheets and win to nil on seven occasions.
The Bavarians have a particularly impressive record in the first 45 minutes of matches at the Allianz Arena, with first half wins recorded in ten of their 14 home league matches and the remaining four ending in a draw.
With the first leg ending in a win to nil for Bayern and Marseille unable to score in five of the games on their nine-match winless run, another win for Bayern and a clean sheet to boot looks a good option at 6/5.
Either way, expect Bayern to be ahead at the half time and full time whistle at odds of 83/100.
The Bavarians have a particularly impressive record in the first 45 minutes of matches at the Allianz Arena, with first half wins recorded in ten of their 14 home Bundesliga matches and the remaining four ending in a draw.
Perhaps even more remarkably, Bayern have not so much as conceded a goal in the first half of their home league matches.
This dominance extends to the Champions League, where the four-time competition winners have been ahead at the break in all five of their home matches in the 2011-12 campaign to date.
Given Marseille’s poor home form, a Bayern half time lead therefore looks nailed-on at odds of 7/10, while a win at half time and full time also looks a safe bet at 83/100.
Bayern certainly have the firepower to not only take an early lead but extend it, with Arjen Robben and Mario Gomez in particular in fine form in front of goal.
Robben’s goal at the weekend in his side’s 1-0 success over Nuremberg was his ninth in his last seven games, while Gomez has notched ten in Bayern’s last seven.
Their recent success is reflected by their odds on a goal this evening, with Robben at 13/20 to score at any time and Gomez at 2/5.
To secure bigger returns, it could be worth playing on the fact that the Dutchman has had the final say in four of Bayern’s last six games, including in the first leg against Marseille last week.
A punt on Robben to score last at 3/1 could therefore be worth a shout, with a successful £25 free bet on this outcome set to return £100.
This option is certainly more lucrative than betting on a Bayern win in bwin’s 3Way football betting market, which is priced at 33/100.
But these odds are at least justified given Bayern’s and Marseille’s respective form, with the draw (17/4), away win (27/4) and Marseille success over two legs (20/1) long shots for a reason – they are not very likely to happen.
Recommended bet: Bayern to be winning at half time and full time @ 83/100
Outside punt: Robben to score last @ 3/1
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