There’s plenty to go on ahead of the Champions League quarter final second-leg between Barcelona and Paris Saint-Germain at Camp Nou, as these two continental behemoths have faced off three times already this season and twice more since the start of April 2013.
The black and gold boys at bwin say Luis Enrique’s side have already done the job of reaching the Champions League semi-finals for the eight successive season, pricing Barca up at 1/100 for said eventuality after their 3-1 first-leg triumph in the French capital.
For those who disagree, Laurent Blanc’s men can be backed at 50/1 to make the final four of Europe’s top tourney. Here are three better bets based on expected home dominance:
Barcelona to win/Over 3.5 total goals @ 8/5
After a slightly sticky start to life under Enrique, with three losses in their first 13 games of the campaign, Los Blaugrana have won 32 of their past 36 fixtures and are unbeaten in 12 since going down 1-0 at home to Malaga in mid-February, emerging victorious from all bar one of those dozen outings.
Having reversed form with Blanc’s side last time out on the road at Parc des Princes, where they lost 3-2 in September, another triumph looks very much on the cards.
Four of this pair’s five meetings over the past 24 months saw over 3.5 goals go in, so expect another action-packed encounter.
Luis Suarez to score the first goal @ 4/1
Like Enrique, the former Liverpool striker also struggled to get going this season, somewhat understandably so after missing the first two months through suspension, but 14 goals in his past 16 appearances have more than made up for just five in his first 18.
Crucially for this bet, Suarez has notched in four of Barca’s past five home games, with two of those strikes openers and both coming within the first five minutes of their respective matches, including last time out against Valencia after 50 seconds.
He has also struck three times in two appearances against PSG this season.
Neymar to score at any time @ 11/10
Brazil’s talisman has only a slightly worse record when faced with the Ligue 1 champions than his Uruguayan teammate, firing home three strikes in three appearances against Blanc’s crowd this term.
Happily for anytime-goal backers, Neymar bagged just the one in each of those games, so banking on the 23-year-old keeping up the good work makes plenty of sense.