Bet 15 of the £10 to £10k Challenge was a standard affair and one that has come to typify the sort of dabble I’m constantly on the lookout for in the quest to reach the magical five-figure total.
Olympiakos were always going to beat lowly Xanthi last weekend but 11/50 for them to do so represented great value and it was a price I could not pass up. The Greek superpower duly clocked up a comfortable 4-0 win and took my winnings from £101.50 to £123.83 in the blink of 90 minutes.
Generally I’ve tried to steer away from results-based bets and more often than not, I’ve gone for teams to score or for there to be goals in games to safeguard against the lesser teams grabbing plucky points.
In truth, there’s just as much chance of the spoiling team shutting the other out or limiting the amount of goals they do score, but what I’ve tended to find is that when one side are such heavy favourites to win, the odds don’t always make it a viable option for a step in the £10k challenge.
For example, a week on Saturday, Barcelona and Real Madrid are at home against Celta Vigo and Real Zaragoza respectively and both are 1/10 to pick up all three points.
Both should win and I say in advance that both will win. I may even make it a double at odds of 21/100 but when the likes of Olympiakos are at home and have just as much chance of doing the business at twice the price, I know where I’ll be putting my money. I did something similar with Porto at home to Beira-Mar a few weeks back and NK Maribor against Mura 05 in Slovenia.
Someone, somewhere across bwin’s vast expanse of priced-up football leagues will be nigh-on guaranteed a decent win and make my winnings decent in the process. I think the term is ‘bargain hunting’ – a concept well known to me after spending four years as a student watching the programme by the same name in bed.
If I was to do some analysis of my bets thus far (which I can’t be bothered doing) then it would probably show that most of my ‘win’ bets come at the weekend, when the options are bountiful. However, midweek programmes with the reduced amount of games are more restricted and some creative thinking is required to be safe and profitable.
Over the first two matchdays of this season’s Champions League, I have opted for over 1.5 goals in the Real Madrid ties with Manchester City and Ajax and this has proven pretty successful so far.
You can always guarantee goals with Los Galacticos and especially in the group stages, where they have amassed 41 strikes in the 14 games that Jose Mourinho has been in charge for.
Tonight they play Borussia Dortmund, who gave City the runaround at the Etihad Stadium three weeks ago, and I’m absolutely convinced that between the pair we’ll see over 1.5 goals for a third Madrid game in succession.
Over 1.5 goals is priced at 4/25 and would result in me totalling £143.64 should it come in, but just Real to score is 7/50 and for the sake of being a couple of quid worse off, I’ll be playing it safe and keeping things ticking over until Saturday.
Bet 16: Real Madrid to score against Dortmund @ 7/50
Current Balance: £123.83
Potential Balance: £141.17