Burnley vs Brighton: Clarets can edge close encounter

Burnley vs Brighton: Clarets can edge close encounter

Kick-off: 1500, 06/02/2021

Stadium: Turf Moor

TV: Sky Sports

Brighton followed in Burnley’s footsteps by claiming a stunning victory at Liverpool in midweek but we’re still happy to oppose them on Saturday.

Burnley are only two points behind the Seagulls with a game in hand and have been in decent form themselves recently after beating Liverpool and Aston Villa.

We’re not convinced the visitors have done enough to deserve to be favourites at close to evens and a home win is a value pick at 5/2 for our first Burnley vs Brighton prediction.

A Look At Burnley’s Betting Odds

Burnley will be relieved to put a tough run of fixtures behind them and hope to pull further away from the relegation zone in their next three matches against Brighton, Crystal Palace and West Brom.

The unexpected victory at Anfield was followed by a 3-2 win against Aston Villa before 2-0 defeats against Chelsea and Manchester City which were not too surprising.

The visit of Brighton is the kind of fixture in which the Clarets usually thrive and they have won four of their five home games against teams currently outside the top eight, while they earned a point in a goalless draw at Brighton in November.

A cagey affair seems likely though and Burnley’s games are averaging just 1.95 goals – the lowest in the Premier League.

Backing under 1.5 goals has paid out in four of their seven Premier League meetings with the Seagulls so we’re doing so again at 31/20 in the Burnley vs Brighton odds.

Last Burnley line-up: Pope, Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Pieters, Cork, Gudmundsson, McNeil, Westwood, Rodriguez, Vydra.

Burnley may be without several first-team players, with strikers Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes, winger Robbie Brady, midfielder Josh Brownhill and full-back Charlie Taylor all sidelined by a variety of injuries for the defeat to City.

A Look At Brighton and Hove Albion’s Betting Odds

Brighton followed Burnley’s gameplan in midweek and were rewarded with a clean sheet and a first win at Anfield since March 1982.

The visitors defended en masse and then committed players to attack when they had the chance to take the game to the defending champions.

It worked to a tee as there were no shots on target from either side in the opening 54 minutes, a situation which would not have bothered Graham Potter.

The first attempt on target found the net as the impressive Dan Burn popped up at the far post to knock Pascal Gross’ cross back into the danger area and Steven Alzate ran onto it to loop a shot inside the far post, possibly via a deflection from Leandro Trossard.

To be fair to Brighton, they had chances to increase their lead and Potter praised his players for leaving “everything on the pitch”, but that could take its toll at Turf Moor.

It was a third win in four matches and four of their five wins this season have been by a single goal, while the same applies to all six of Burnley’s victories.

We’re backing either team to win by one goal at 6/5 in our Burnley vs Brighton betting tips – or for a bigger price, take Burnley to win 1-0 at 15/2.

Last Brighton line-up: Sanchez, White, Webster, Dunk, Burn, Bissouma, Gross, March, Maupay, Trossard, Alzate.

Brighton will be without Solly March after the winger hobbled off against Liverpool but could welcome back Joel Veltman and Alexis Mac Allister. Tariq Lamptey, Danny Welbeck, Alireza Jahanbakhsh and Florin Andone are still sidelined.

Additional stats

Last result:

BURNLEY 0-2 Man City

Liverpool 0-1 BRIGHTON – Steven Alzate

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