Kick-off: 2000, 19/05/2022
Stadium: Villa Park
Burnley can climb back out of the Premier League relegation zone if picking up a point at Aston Villa but we fear that will be a difficult task.
The good news is they have drawn at Villa Park for the past two seasons, but the bad news is they were beaten 3-1 at home by Villa earlier this month.
We like 2.05 for the Clarets to leave the Midlands empty handed this time for our initial Aston Villa vs Burnley prediction.
Aston Villa Odds
Villa are finishing their campaign strongly, with a narrow loss to Liverpool the only defeat in five outings.
Steven Gerrard’s side have beaten Norwich and Burnley and drawn with Leicester and Crystal Palace during a rock-solid spell.
A top-10 finish is still possible, although visiting Manchester City in the last round of fixtures on Sunday makes that a longshot.
“It’s on but it’s slightly more difficult now,” admitted Gerrard. “We needed to really take control and take maximum points against Palace.
“But my players are frustrated and I really like that they are frustrated and hopefully we can go and take that frustration out on Thursday night.
“Because if we want to be a more consistent team at home, we have to be more ruthless and clinical in front of goal.”
Villa have been creating plenty of opportunities and will be fired up for this final home fixture.
Danny Ings missed a trio of chances against the Eagles but did recently score versus Norwich and Burnley.
Looking at the 3.75 for him to net against his former club again and Villa to win.
Last Villa line-up: Martinez, Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne, Douglas Luiz, McGinn, Nakamba, Coutinho, Watkins, Ings.
Burnley Odds
Burnley enjoyed a hat-trick of victories over Southampton, Wolves and Watford before that blip versus Villa.
The Clarets regrouped and put in a brave display at Tottenham on Sunday, but luck went against them with a controversial penalty decision.
Referee Kevin Friend ruled that the ball flicked Ashley Barnes’ outstretched arm after a VAR check and Harry Kane capitalised to grab the only goal of the game.
“I have just watched it back and I don’t think it is a penalty,” said Burnley boss Mike Jackson.
“You have to look at it in context of what has just happened; it is an 18-yard box, bodies in it, people competing.
“Ashley is trying to keep his balance, how he can get out of the way of it, I don’t know. You can’t stand in an 18-yard box with your arms by your side.
“You don’t do that. I don’t know if the referee has played football. Nobody has even appealed for a penalty.
“I am annoyed at that but on the flipside I am really proud of the group. They have had a right go. I have seen a group that was fighting and had that spirit.”
The Clarets are past masters at pulling off great escapes but have been a bit unfortunate with their late fixture list this term.
Gerrard isn’t the type of manager to show them any sympathy and we’re adding 8.75 for a 2-1 home win to our Aston Villa vs Burnley betting tips.
Last Burnley line-up: Pope, Lowton, Taylor, Roberts, Collins, Long, Cork, Brownhill, McNeil, Cornet, Barnes.
Additional stats
Player statistic
| 45' |  |
Ashley Barnes |
| Emiliano Buendía (Assist: John McGinn) |
 |
48' | ||
| 55' |  |
Kevin Long | ||
| 90+1' |  |
Matthew Lowton |
Match statistic
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